Messy Fund Update

Fund / Signal update · 18 August 2026 · vnext-2026-07-24

Auto-generated at build time from api.messyvirgo.com and authenticated council prep (session-frozen macro/narrative when available).

Weekly workflow proof for Guru micro test funds on Base (base01, base02, base04, base05, base06). Screening prepares evidence; the Chair decides; the system records the resolution; only then can execution mutate the book. Macro and narrative below are the postures those sessions used — not a live market refresh at publish time.

Custody / provider

These Messy-managed books use the Guru Lotus vault adapter on Base for custody and share accounting. Messy’s engine runs research, council decisioning, and trade construction; capital sits in Guru’s vault contracts. Our trading key can trade but cannot withdraw, a limit enforced by the vault contracts, not our software. Provider-side contract failure is venue risk. Keys live in Turnkey; our backend never holds key material.

For the blast-radius map (engine vs custody vs token), see Custody Broke. The Engine Didn’t..

This week at a glance

  • 8 council sessions across 5 micro funds — 6 executed.
  • base02 NAV $35.96 (-9.6% 7d, 2 exec / 0 hold).
  • base01 NAV $89.49 (-2.9% 7d, 1 exec / 0 hold).
  • TIBBIR led aggregate screens this week — a candidate signal, not an automatic trade.

What's new in the app

  • Fund pages in the app now include full council minutes — open any fund and tap Council to read what the portfolio committee debated, what the Chair decided, and whether trades were executed. How the AI investment council works →
  • We publish five Guru micro test funds (base01, base02, base04, base05, base06). base04 and base05 joined on 10 July; base06 began council meetings in the week of 1 August. Every change on those test funds goes through screening, council review, and signed execution — the same path future AI-managed funds will use.
  • This week we specialized the screening playbooks on base04, base05, and base06: meme-nano, asymmetric-micro, and liquid-control. base01 and base02 keep the shared momentum + social templates. Screens still stop at ideas — council and execution decide size, venue, and fills. Rolling 7-day aggregates can mix old and new context until the new playbooks have a full week of runs.

Market regime — macro economics

31.84
R- — Risk Off
The overlay adjustment of –18.44 points reflects three material infrastructure shocks: Harmony's 141,628-block rollback to remove 2.385 trillion forged tokens (–8.84 pts), Coldcard's five-year hardware wallet vulnerability costing $100M (–7.12 pts), and BitMart's unresolved fund-access disputes raising exchange transparency concerns (–6.37 pts). These are partially offset by Bitmine's sustained 4.8% Ethereum accumulation (+3.31 pts) and Treasury's GENIUS Act stablecoin framework (+2.98 pts), signaling institutional infrastructure is intact but near-term operational risks dominate. Positioning should reflect this split: maintain core BTC/ETH conviction but reduce leverage, elevate stablecoin dry powder, and avoid high-beta altcoins until protocol security incidents stabilize.

Micro funds · week scan

Fund NAV 7d Sessions Exec Hold
base01 $89.49 -2.9% 3 1 0 Council
base02 $35.96 -9.6% 2 2 0 Council
base04 $40.4 -0.1% 1 1 0 Council
base05 $46.55 +1.0% 1 1 0 Council
base06 $23.84 +1.3% 1 1 0 Council

base01 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 17 August 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled, mutating the fund's holdings.

Week: 3 sessions · 1 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 15.2% · Base 39.9% · High-beta 44.9%
CASH (USDC) 15.2% BASE (WETH) 39.9% TIBBIR 10.4% ETHFI 10.1% LINK 10.1% UP 5.4% BOB 4.4% TRUST 1.9% TOBY 1.4% ACU 1.2%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 17 August 2026

#1 TIBBIR Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.86, best rank 1, recency score 30.55.
#2 UP Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.33, best rank 1, recency score 24.61.
#3 COOKIE Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.17, best rank 1, recency score 17.27.

base02 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 17 August 2026

The council's rebalance executed and reconciled, trimming altt and increasing link, ethfi, and trust to fund a posture-mandated shift from about 28% cash and 52% high beta toward a ratified 16.9% cash, 20.1% base, and 63% high-beta target, though realized post-execution weights are not yet available to confirm the achieved posture.

Week: 2 sessions · 2 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 16.8% · Base 20.1% · High-beta 63.2%
CASH (USDC) 16.8% BASE (WETH) 20.1% LINK 12.6% TRUST 12.6% ETHFI 12.2% ACU 8.3% ALTT 6.4% COOKIE 4.5% FLAY 3.9% RWA 2.8%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 17 August 2026

#1 COOKIE Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.57, best rank 1, recency score 30.05.
#2 ALTT Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.17, best rank 1, recency score 19.34.
#3 LINK Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.17, best rank 1, recency score 21.99.

base04 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 17 August 2026

The council's rebalance executed and reconciled, exiting apu and adding dime and mfer, though kibshi's entry was blocked at execution by a cost gate and did not settle.

Week: 1 sessions · 1 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 28.3% · Base 35.2% · High-beta 36.5%
CASH (USDC) 28.3% BASE (WETH) 35.2% DIME 7.7% MFER 7.6% TOBY 7.5% COCORO 7.2% TABOSHI 6.4%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 17 August 2026

#1 TABOSHI Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.71, best rank 1, recency score 37.34.
#2 TOBY Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.00, best rank 2, recency score 32.96.
#3 WOLF Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.50, best rank 1, recency score 21.33.

base05 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 17 August 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled, resizing the mvs-base05-1 sleeve by holding jarvis and taboshi, increasing both up positions, and trimming kellyclaude and a0x.

Week: 1 sessions · 1 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 21% · Base 27% · High-beta 52%
CASH (USDC) 21.0% BASE (WETH) 27.0% UP 19.0% UP 16.1% JARVIS 6.7% TABOSHI 6.3% KELLYCLAUDE 2.0% A0X 1.9%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 17 August 2026

#1 UP Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.50, best rank 1, recency score 34.43.
#2 TABOSHI Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.00, best rank 1, recency score 26.88.
#3 UP Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.20, best rank 2, recency score 26.54.

base06 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 17 August 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled, adding omi as a new position while trimming tbtc and topping up link, ethfi, and tibbir inside a ratified posture shift that cut cash to about 24% and base to about 30% while raising high beta to about 46%; realized post-execution weights are not yet confirmed.

Week: 1 sessions · 1 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 23.7% · Base 30.7% · High-beta 45.5%
CASH (USDC) 23.7% BASE (WETH) 30.7% ETHFI 10.5% TIBBIR 10.3% LINK 9.8% WBTC 7.1% OMI 5.2% TBTC 2.7%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 17 August 2026

#1 TIBBIR Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.14, best rank 1, recency score 38.60.
#2 LINK Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.43, best rank 2, recency score 30.11.
#3 OMI Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.14, best rank 1, recency score 19.62.

Aggregate signal

✅ Aggregate signal
TIBBIR
Ribbita by Virtuals
Appeared in 7/7 daily runs across base01 and base06 over the 7-day lookback. Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.86, best rank 1, recency score 30.55.

What this teaches the future Fund Agent

1
Macro gates exposure. Use the session-frozen regime the council actually saw — not a later live refresh.
2
Daily screen ≠ automatic trade. Aggregate leaders inform the slate; they do not bypass Chair decision or execution gates.
3
Chair decides, system records. Seats analyze and propose; the Chair adjudicates; minutes and execution receipts stay public on each fund’s Council tab.

Inspect the same workflow

Data auto-fetched at build time

Archive

Live data at build time; links above are frozen weekly snapshots.