Messy Fund Update

Latest update

Fund / Signal update · 6 June 2026

Each week: what changed in our Guru Lotus Funds on Base — read-only snapshots of real holdings and NAV on Guru.fund, not paper trading. We pair that with the same research stack (macro, narratives, screening, council context): what moved, what was passed on, and what the process teaches about the path toward AI-managed Funds. Published for transparency only; this update does not execute trades or rotate the books.

Funds on Base — Guru Lotus (read-only)

messybased — screening & council

Current book
MESSY 78.9% ETHY 9.3% FACY 8.1% WIRE 3.7%

WETH $0

7-day aggregate — 6 source runs, as of 6 June 2026

#1 PRXVT Appeared in 6/6 source run(s) with avg rank 1.17 and best rank 1.
#2 TACHI Appeared in 5/6 source run(s) with avg rank 2.00 and best rank 1.
#3 BLKH Appeared in 5/6 source run(s) with avg rank 3.20 and best rank 2.
#4 DRV Appeared in 5/6 source run(s) with avg rank 5.40 and best rank 4.
#5 $BV7X Appeared in 5/6 source run(s) with avg rank 6.60 and best rank 2.
#6 MYTHOS Appeared in 4/6 source run(s) with avg rank 6.50 and best rank 5.
#7 VELVET Appeared in 3/6 source run(s) with avg rank 4.00 and best rank 3.
#8 ALLO Appeared in 3/6 source run(s) with avg rank 5.00 and best rank 4.

messyinfra — screening & council

Current book
MESSY 65.9% AERO 9.3% VIRTUAL 8.9% BNKR 5.8% KTA 5.1% AVNT 4.9%

WETH $1

7-day aggregate — 5 source runs, as of 6 June 2026

#1 PRXVT Appeared in 5/5 source run(s) with avg rank 2.00 and best rank 1.
#2 DRV Appeared in 4/5 source run(s) with avg rank 3.75 and best rank 3.
#3 AXLUSDC Appeared in 3/5 source run(s) with avg rank 3.00 and best rank 2.
#4 TACHI Appeared in 3/5 source run(s) with avg rank 6.33 and best rank 5.
#5 BLKH Appeared in 3/5 source run(s) with avg rank 8.67 and best rank 7.
#6 RSETH Appeared in 2/5 source run(s) with avg rank 4.50 and best rank 4.
#7 $BV7X Appeared in 2/5 source run(s) with avg rank 5.50 and best rank 1.
#8 NOCK Appeared in 2/5 source run(s) with avg rank 6.50 and best rank 6.
🔄
Council certified · target change · 6 June 2026

No hard policy blocks are present, and the book has fresh holdings, macro, and narratives coverage. The main admissibility concern is that screening aggregate coverage is degraded/sparse and mixed-context, so any rotation or new-position decision would be based on a thinner evidence stack than usual. Macro is regime N but risk-off news overlay and fully deployed high-beta exposure argue against net risk increase. A selective candidate rotation or rebalance is permissible, but execution should be treated as review-required rather than automatic.

Market regime — macro economics

26.93
R- — Risk Off
The Effective Score of 26.93 (on 0–100) signals a **Risk-Off regime (R-)** driven by acute liquidation cascades, institutional ETF redemptions, and geopolitical escalation that have overwhelmed a moderately supportive base macro backdrop. The base regime (51.9) reflects solid global liquidity growth, a positive yield curve, and low volatility—all tailwinds for risk appetite—but a **−25 point qualitative adjustment** from current-events shocks (crypto leverage unwinding, $1.6B liquidations, 13+ consecutive spot ETF outflow days, and Zcash protocol vulnerability disclosure) has pushed the effective posture decisively into defensive territory. This matters now because institutional capital is rotating hard into AI equities and pre-IPO contracts, leaving crypto majors starved of inflows despite structural support from ETF infrastructure and tokenized banking initiatives.

Narrative momentum — 6 June 2026

Narrative 15d 30d 60d vs BTC 15d Read
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) -0.3% +6.9% +23.8% +11.8pp Watch
Real World Assets (RWA) -1.9% +2.0% +14.3% +4.3pp Watch
AI Agents -11.7% +0.3% +24.1% +28.3pp Watch
SocialFi -19.7% -25.9% -34.2% -30.3pp Fading
Decentralized Science (DeSci) -30.0% -22.9% +40.1% +87.8pp Fading
Privacy Coins -31.0% -26.4% +19.7% +61.1pp Fading

AI Agents is -11.7% over 15d but +28.3pp vs BTC — absolute strength does not always mean allocation-worthy beta.

Aggregate signal · Risk reject

✅ Aggregate signal
PRXVT
PRXVT by Virtuals
Appeared in 6/6 daily runs across messybased and messyinfra over the 7-day lookback. Appeared in 6/6 source run(s) with avg rank 1.17 and best rank 1.
6/6 days aggregate

What this teaches the future Fund Agent

1
Macro gates gross exposure. Neutral regime (26.93 R- — Risk Off) → defensive funds stay in core; beta funds rotate within the book, not expand it blindly.
2
Daily screen ≠ automatic trade. The day's #1 candidate and the 7-day aggregate leader can differ — the agent needs both horizons, not just the latest signal.
3
Council is the constraint layer. Certified outcomes encode PM conflict, guardrail breaches, and explicit rotate-out lists. This is training data for autonomous Funds — not marketing copy.

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