Fund / Signal update · 27 June 2026
Each week: what changed across our Guru funds on Base — Guru Lotus read-only NAV snapshots (messybased, messyinfra) plus micro test funds on Guru (base01, base02) that run the full screening → council → target-change workflow. Those micro funds are traded by the fund workflow; target changes execute manually or automatically only after council resolution. We pair that with macro, narratives, and screening context: what moved, what was passed on, and what the process teaches about AI-managed Funds. Published for transparency only; this update does not execute trades or rotate the books.
This week at a glance
- Macro currently reads R- (32.0/100). The score updates daily; each council session uses the latest macro read available at meeting time.
- base01 held 5 council sessions this week — 3 executed rotations on Base and 2 hold reviews.
- Decentralized Finance (DeFi) leads narrative momentum (+10.7% over 15 days) — thematic heat, not a buy signal on its own.
- REAL showed up consistently across fund screens this week — a leading aggregate candidate, not an automatic trade.
What's new in the app
-
Fund pages in the app now include full council minutes — open any fund and tap Council to read what the portfolio committee debated, voted on, and whether trades were executed.
How the AI investment council works →
-
We publish two live workflow test funds (base01 and base02) alongside the read-only Guru Lotus snapshots. Every change on those test funds goes through screening, council review, and signed execution — the same path future AI-managed funds will use.
Guru Lotus (read-only NAV)
Micro test funds on Guru (workflow-traded)
messybased — screening & council
Current book
MESSY 80.1%
ETHY 9.3%
FACY 7.9%
WIRE 2.7%
WETH $0
7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 27 June 2026
#1
SPARK
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.17 and best rank 1.
#2
CXT
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.33 and best rank 4.
#3
WAVE
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.60 and best rank 1.
#4
CPHY
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.60 and best rank 1.
#5
YNE
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.25 and best rank 3.
#6
OLAS
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.25 and best rank 1.
#7
EIGEN
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.00 and best rank 3.
#8
CAP
Appeared in 2/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.00 and best rank 2.
messyinfra — screening & council
Current book
MESSY 63.6%
AERO 14.4%
VIRTUAL 9.1%
BNKR 7.9%
KTA 5.0%
WETH $0
7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 27 June 2026
#1
REAL
Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.86 and best rank 1.
#2
HANDL
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.50 and best rank 1.
#3
RIZE
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.80 and best rank 2.
#4
EMT
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.50 and best rank 2.
#5
WAVE
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.75 and best rank 3.
#6
AMPS
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.33 and best rank 1.
#7
SPX
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.67 and best rank 3.
#8
CHEX
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.67 and best rank 4.
🔄
Council · target change · 6 June 2026
Target change approved; rebalance handoff is ready for review.
base01 — screening & council
Current book
RIZE 5.6%
HANDL 5.1%
REAL 4.9%
SPX 3.3%
EMT 2.8%
AERO 0.0%
WETH $24
7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 27 June 2026
#1
REAL
Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.86 and best rank 1.
#2
HANDL
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.50 and best rank 1.
#3
RIZE
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.80 and best rank 2.
#4
EMT
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.50 and best rank 2.
#5
WAVE
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.75 and best rank 3.
#6
AMPS
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.33 and best rank 1.
#7
SPX
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.67 and best rank 3.
#8
CHEX
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.67 and best rank 4.
🔄
Council · certified · target change · executed reconciled · 27 June 2026
Target finalization: Target finalization confirmed the ratified posture and produced a certified target structure for execution.
The main risk was the mixed fresh-and-aggregate evidence on the preferred add, which lowered conviction relative to a purely fresh-confirmed candidate.
Action items: The session closed as resolved and completed, with the fund mutated, reconciled, and handed off under the approved target-change decision.
base02 — screening & council
WETH $8
7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 27 June 2026
#1
REAL
Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.86 and best rank 1.
#2
HANDL
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.50 and best rank 1.
#3
RIZE
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.80 and best rank 2.
#4
EMT
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.50 and best rank 2.
#5
WAVE
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.75 and best rank 3.
#6
AMPS
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.33 and best rank 1.
#7
SPX
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.67 and best rank 3.
#8
CHEX
Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.67 and best rank 4.
Market regime — macro economics
The Effective Score of 32 (on 0–100) signals a **Risk-Off regime (R-)** with material headwinds offsetting modest tailwinds. Global liquidity expansion and a normalized yield curve provide a base of support, but Bitcoin spot ETF outflows extending into a seventh consecutive day, combined with geopolitical escalation (US military strikes on Iran) and regulatory tightening (Spain's MiCA stance, EU DeFi oversight push), have compressed institutional conviction and forced a 10.95-point qualitative downgrade from the base score of 43. This matters now because crypto is caught between long-term tokenization momentum (Securitize's NYSE listing) and immediate deleveraging pressure, leaving retail portfolios vulnerable to sharp intra-week swings.
Narrative momentum — 27 June 2026
| Narrative |
15d |
30d |
60d |
vs BTC 15d |
Read |
| Decentralized Finance (DeFi) |
+10.7% |
+7.8% |
+25.1% |
+31.2pp |
Steady |
| SocialFi |
+0.6% |
-15.0% |
-37.2% |
-19.5pp |
Fading |
| Real World Assets (RWA) |
-1.9% |
-2.8% |
+4.1% |
+24.2pp |
Fading |
| AI Agents |
-7.7% |
-19.7% |
-0.2% |
+26.2pp |
Fading |
| Privacy Coins |
-12.9% |
-19.7% |
-0.1% |
+32.9pp |
Fading |
| Decentralized Science (DeSci) |
-13.0% |
-27.7% |
-6.5% |
+25.7pp |
Fading |
AI Agents is -7.7% over 15d but +26.2pp vs BTC — absolute strength does not always mean allocation-worthy beta.
Aggregate signal · Risk reject
✅ Aggregate signal
REAL
Defactor
Appeared in 7/7 daily runs across messyinfra and base01 and base02 over the 7-day lookback. Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.86 and best rank 1.
7/7 days
aggregate
What this teaches the future Fund Agent
1
Macro gates gross exposure. Regime context (32.04 R- — Risk Off) → defensive funds stay in core; beta funds rotate within the book, not expand it blindly.
2
Daily screen ≠ automatic trade. The day's #1 candidate and the 7-day aggregate leader can differ — the agent needs both horizons, not just the latest signal.
3
Council is the constraint layer. No trade runs until the committee records its decision — including disagreements, guardrails, and what was actually executed. That record is public on each fund page.
Run the same workflow