Fund / Signal update · 15 May 2026
Each week: what changed in our Guru Lotus Funds on Base — read-only snapshots of real holdings and NAV on Guru.fund, not paper trading. We pair that with the same research stack (macro, narratives, screening, council context): what moved, what was passed on, and what the process teaches about the path toward AI-managed Funds. Published for transparency only; this update does not execute trades or rotate the books.
Funds on Base — Guru Lotus (read-only)
messybased — screening & council
Current book
MESSY 64.7%
ETHY 13.4%
FACY 6.7%
WIRE 5.8%
CAP 5.7%
VPAY 3.8% ⚠️
WETH $0 (+$0 PnL)
7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 15 May 2026
#1
MUTE
Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.29 and best rank 4.
#2
SHEKEL
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.67 and best rank 1.
#3
CRED
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.50 and best rank 2.
#4
HEU
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 7.00 and best rank 3.
#5
PR
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.40 and best rank 1.
#6
ROBA
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.40 and best rank 4.
#7
DICKBUTT
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.25 and best rank 2.
#8
CPHY
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.50 and best rank 3.
🔄
Council certified · target change · 15 May 2026
Consensus across PM roles endorses full candidate_rotation within high-beta sleeve (100% allocation maintained per 'N' macro regime and preparation brief). Screening aggregates fresh (7-day, 7 runs, full coverage) with persistent leaders (e.g., MUTE 7/7 apps). No policy violations: all capabilities allowed, evidence fresh within thresholds. Bucket weights unchanged (respects 5% session limits)
Base Sub 3M — screening & council
WETH $11,291 (+$436 PnL)
7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 15 May 2026
#1
PR
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.83 and best rank 1.
#2
MOCHI
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.20 and best rank 2.
#3
DICKBUTT
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.40 and best rank 2.
#4
SHEKEL
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.25 and best rank 1.
#5
CRED
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.00 and best rank 3.
#6
$BV7X
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.00 and best rank 1.
#7
ROBA
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.25 and best rank 6.
#8
MIROSHARK
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 7.25 and best rank 3.
🔄
Council certified · target change · 15 May 2026
No hard blocks or policy violations
Pre-Alpha Council Play — screening & council
Current book
SHEKEL 14.4%
BETTER 11.1%
DICKBUTT 10.8%
CAP 10.5%
SIBYL 10.4%
BENI 10.2%
1000X 9.4% ⚠️
ANDY 8.5% ⚠️
CRED 8.4% ⚠️
SEAM 6.3% ⚠️
7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 15 May 2026
#1
MUTE
Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.14 and best rank 4.
#2
SHEKEL
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.83 and best rank 1.
#3
CRED
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.33 and best rank 2.
#4
HEU
Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.67 and best rank 3.
#5
PR
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.40 and best rank 1.
#6
ROBA
Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.40 and best rank 3.
#7
DICKBUTT
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.25 and best rank 2.
#8
CPHY
Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 7.50 and best rank 4.
🔄
Council certified · target change · 15 May 2026
All evidence fresh within thresholds (screening 7-day aggregate, holdings, macros 'N' regime, neutral narratives). No hard blocks
Market regime — macro economics
Effective Score: 57.8 (Neutral). This implies a cautiously balanced posture with elevated tail risks offsetting near-term institutional support, warranting defensive positioning and elevated stablecoin allocation as dry powder. The base tailwind is robust institutional adoption: U.S.
Narrative momentum — 15 May 2026
| Narrative |
15d |
30d |
60d |
vs BTC 15d |
Read |
| Privacy Coins |
+32.9% |
+33.9% |
+55.4% |
+12.0pp |
Leading |
| Decentralized Science (DeSci) |
+25.0% |
+74.1% |
+58.5% |
+21.8pp |
Leading |
| AI Agents |
+23.7% |
+26.4% |
+10.1% |
-16.0pp |
Leading |
| Decentralized Finance (DeFi) |
+11.4% |
+13.1% |
+12.6% |
-3.9pp |
Steady |
| Real World Assets (RWA) |
+10.5% |
+16.4% |
+20.6% |
+4.1pp |
Steady |
| SocialFi |
+3.8% |
-20.1% |
-24.1% |
-31.9pp |
Fading |
AI Agents is +23.7% over 15d but -16.0pp vs BTC — absolute strength does not always mean allocation-worthy beta.
Aggregate signal · Risk reject
✅ Aggregate signal
MUTE
MUTE SWAP by Virtuals
Appeared in 7/7 daily runs across messybased and Pre-Alpha Council Play over the 7-day lookback. Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.29 and best rank 4.
7/7 days
aggregate
❌ Risk reject
VPAY
VPAY · messybased
Held in book with unrealized ~$-111.6919999999999. Flagged in council rotation — no longer passes aggregate screening discipline. Price alone does not override a failed screen.
not screened
$-111.6919999999999 pnl
rotate out
What this teaches the future Fund Agent
1
Macro gates gross exposure. Neutral regime (57.8 Neutral) → defensive funds stay in core; beta funds rotate within the book, not expand it blindly.
2
Daily screen ≠ automatic trade. The day's #1 candidate and the 7-day aggregate leader can differ — the agent needs both horizons, not just the latest signal.
3
Council is the constraint layer. Certified outcomes encode PM conflict, guardrail breaches, and explicit rotate-out lists. This is training data for autonomous Funds — not marketing copy.
Run the same workflow