Messy Fund Update

Fund / Signal update · 9 July 2026

Auto-generated at build time from api.messyvirgo.com — data reflects latest available.

Each week: what changed across our Guru funds on Base — Guru Lotus read-only NAV snapshots (messybased, messyinfra) plus micro test funds on Guru (base01, base02) that run the full screening → council → target-change workflow. Those micro funds are traded by the fund workflow; target changes execute manually or automatically only after council resolution. We pair that with macro, narratives, and screening context: what moved, what was passed on, and what the process teaches about AI-managed Funds. Published for transparency only; this update does not execute trades or rotate the books.

This week at a glance

  • Macro currently reads Neutral (43.8/100). The score updates daily; each council session uses the latest macro read available at meeting time.
  • base01 held 2 council sessions this week — 2 signed and reconciled on Base.
  • base02 held 3 council sessions this week — 3 signed and reconciled on Base.
  • JESSE showed up consistently across fund screens this week — a leading aggregate candidate, not an automatic trade.

What's new in the app

  • Fund pages in the app now include full council minutes — open any fund and tap Council to read what the portfolio committee debated, voted on, and whether trades were executed. How the AI investment council works →
  • We publish two live workflow test funds (base01 and base02) alongside the read-only Guru Lotus snapshots. Every change on those test funds goes through screening, council review, and signed execution — the same path future AI-managed funds will use.

Guru Lotus (read-only NAV)

messybased
$28k NAV
-2.4% 1d +2.7% 7d -11.4% 30d
4 positions · agg 9 July 2026
messyinfra
$27.9k NAV
-1.6% 1d +5.2% 7d -3.3% 30d
5 positions · agg 9 July 2026

Micro test funds on Guru (workflow-traded)

base01
$102.38 NAV
+1.9% 1d +6.9% 7d +13.1% 30d
5 positions · agg 9 July 2026 · council target change
base02
$47.31 NAV
+0.0% 1d -0.1% 7d -0.6% 30d
5 positions · agg 9 July 2026 · council target change · executed reconciled

messybased — screening & council

Current book
MESSY 81.9% ETHY 8.3% ⚠️ FACY 7.6% ⚠️ WIRE 2.2% ⚠️

WETH $0

7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 9 July 2026

#1 CX Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.00, best rank 2, recency score 27.89.
#2 REPLY Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.33, best rank 5, recency score 14.64.
#3 CLAWD Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.20, best rank 3, recency score 18.20.
#4 1000X Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.50, best rank 2, recency score 14.69.
#5 WARD Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.33, best rank 1, recency score 13.55.
#6 OVR Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.00, best rank 1, recency score 8.49.
#7 FAIR Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.67, best rank 6, recency score 6.84.
#8 DIEM Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 8.00, best rank 6, recency score 7.26.

messyinfra — screening & council

Current book
MESSY 64.9% AERO 15.1% VIRTUAL 8.3% ⚠️ BNKR 6.9% ⚠️ KTA 4.8% ⚠️

WETH $0

7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 9 July 2026

#1 JESSE Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.86, best rank 2, recency score 32.73.
#2 AMETA Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.83, best rank 1, recency score 32.00.
#3 DUAL Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 8.00, best rank 6, recency score 9.08.
#4 NPC Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.00, best rank 4, recency score 16.67.
#5 EDEL Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.33, best rank 1, recency score 9.30.
#6 WARD Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.67, best rank 3, recency score 10.54.
#7 1000X Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.33, best rank 5, recency score 6.90.
#8 TOBY Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 7.33, best rank 4, recency score 5.04.

base01 — screening & council

Current book
JESSE 13.4% AMETA 7.8% POD 3.1% FBOMB 3.0% NPC 2.9%

WETH $38

7-day aggregate — 7 source runs, as of 9 July 2026

#1 JESSE Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.86, best rank 2, recency score 32.73.
#2 AMETA Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.83, best rank 1, recency score 32.00.
#3 DUAL Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 8.00, best rank 6, recency score 9.08.
#4 NPC Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.00, best rank 4, recency score 16.67.
#5 EDEL Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.33, best rank 1, recency score 9.30.
#6 WARD Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.67, best rank 3, recency score 10.54.
#7 1000X Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 6.33, best rank 5, recency score 6.90.
#8 TOBY Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 7.33, best rank 4, recency score 5.04.
🔄
Council · certified · target change · 8 July 2026

Target finalization: The target was finalized and certified after the resolution stage, confirming that the chosen posture was admissible under the session rules.

The main risk was that the sleeve was built from mixed fresh and aggregate signals, so the case for adding risk was supportive but not clean.

Action items: The session closed in resolved state after execution and reconciliation.

base02 — screening & council

Current book
DOG 5.2% JITOSOL 5.0% USOL 4.0% FBOMB 3.9% ALTT 1.0%

WETH $19

7-day aggregate — 6 source runs, as of 9 July 2026

#1 CX Appeared in 5/6 source run(s) with avg rank 4.80, best rank 2, recency score 16.01.
#2 REAL Appeared in 4/6 source run(s) with avg rank 5.00, best rank 1, recency score 9.03.
#3 FBOMB Appeared in 3/6 source run(s) with avg rank 2.00, best rank 1, recency score 22.35.
#4 JITOSOL Appeared in 3/6 source run(s) with avg rank 2.67, best rank 1, recency score 19.44.
#5 ALTT Appeared in 3/6 source run(s) with avg rank 3.00, best rank 2, recency score 19.23.
#6 DOG Appeared in 3/6 source run(s) with avg rank 3.33, best rank 2, recency score 7.53.
#7 USOL Appeared in 3/6 source run(s) with avg rank 5.67, best rank 3, recency score 11.80.
#8 SYN Appeared in 2/6 source run(s) with avg rank 2.50, best rank 2, recency score 4.83.
🔄
Council · certified · target change · executed reconciled · 8 July 2026

Target finalization: Target finalization completed and the resulting target was certified as admissible.

The main risk called out by the council was that the screening aggregate was mixed and somewhat degraded, which makes the freshest signals less durable than they might appear in isolation.

Action items: The session closed with the fund-level posture locked, the sleeve target finalized, and the executed package reconciled.

Market regime — macro economics

43.78
Neutral
The Effective Score of 43.78 (down 6.23 points from a Base Score of 50.01) reflects a **Neutral regime with near-term headwinds**, tilted defensively. The dominant tailwind is robust global liquidity (USD +4.6% YoY) and low volatility (VIX 16.13, yield curve positive at +36bp), which normally support risk appetite. However, the Fed's June FOMC minutes flagged AI data-center spending as an inflation risk delaying rate cuts, and Japanese yield repricing is testing Bitcoin's macro relief narrative—both of which compress real returns on non-yielding assets and reduce leverage availability.

Narrative momentum — 9 July 2026

Narrative 15d 30d 60d vs BTC 15d Read
SocialFi +8.3% +4.4% -22.2% -6.2pp Watch
Privacy Coins +4.9% +1.9% -22.0% -3.7pp Watch
Real World Assets (RWA) -0.2% +0.7% +1.1% +23.2pp Watch
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) -2.6% +3.4% +10.0% +34.9pp Watch
Decentralized Science (DeSci) -6.2% -16.1% -33.6% -7.3pp Fading
AI Agents -11.4% -17.1% -26.6% +4.7pp Fading

AI Agents is -11.4% over 15d but +4.7pp vs BTC — absolute strength does not always mean allocation-worthy beta.

Aggregate signal · Risk reject

✅ Aggregate signal
JESSE
jesse
Appeared in 7/7 daily runs across messyinfra and base01 over the 7-day lookback. Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.86, best rank 2, recency score 32.73.
7/7 days aggregate
❌ Risk reject
FACY
FACY · messybased
Held in book with unrealized ~$-5225.154125170208. Flagged in council rotation — no longer passes aggregate screening discipline. Price alone does not override a failed screen.
not screened $-5225.154125170208 pnl rotate out

What this teaches the future Fund Agent

1
Macro gates gross exposure. Regime context (43.78 Neutral) → defensive funds stay in core; beta funds rotate within the book, not expand it blindly.
2
Daily screen ≠ automatic trade. The day's #1 candidate and the 7-day aggregate leader can differ — the agent needs both horizons, not just the latest signal.
3
Council is the constraint layer. No trade runs until the committee records its decision — including disagreements, guardrails, and what was actually executed. That record is public on each fund page.

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All Funds messybased messyinfra base01 base02 Macro Economics Narrative Momentum Performance Signals Social Signals Security Signals

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