Messy Fund Update

Fund / Signal update · 22 August 2026 · vnext-2026-07-24

Auto-generated at build time from api.messyvirgo.com and authenticated council prep (session-frozen macro/narrative when available).

Weekly workflow proof for Messy-managed micro test funds on Base: Guru Lotus books base04, base05, and base06, plus Lagoon books lg-base01 and lg-base02. Screening prepares evidence; the Chair decides; the system records the resolution; only then can execution mutate the book. Macro and narrative below are the postures those sessions used, not a live market refresh at publish time.

Custody / provider

This week's public micro books use two Base custody adapters. base04, base05, and base06 sit on Guru Lotus vaults. Messy's engine runs research, council decisioning, and trade construction; capital on those books sits in Guru's vault contracts. On the Guru books, the trading key can trade but cannot withdraw, a limit enforced by the vault contracts, not our software. lg-base01 and lg-base02 sit on Lagoon vaults for custody and share accounting. Provider-side contract failure is venue risk on either adapter. Keys live in Turnkey; our backend never holds key material.

For the blast-radius map (engine vs custody vs token), see Custody Broke. The Engine Didn’t..

This week at a glance

  • 31 council sessions across 5 micro funds — 18 executed, 3 blocked.
  • base04 NAV $49.19 (+22.9% 7d, 3 exec / 0 hold).
  • base06 NAV $28.65 (+20.5% 7d, 4 exec / 0 hold).
  • 3 sessions blocked or pending review — see fund Council tabs for gates.
  • TIBBIR led aggregate screens this week — a candidate signal, not an automatic trade.

What's new in the app

  • Fund pages in the app now include full council minutes. Open any fund and tap Council to read what the portfolio committee debated, what the Chair decided, and whether trades were executed. How the AI investment council works →
  • Two Guru Lotus verification books closed this week (base01 and base02). Two Lagoon books joined this public suite: lg-base01 and lg-base02. Guru Lotus workflow books still on the page are base04, base05, and base06. Screens still stop at ideas: council and execution decide size, venue, and fills.

Market regime — macro economics

26.71
R- — Risk Off
The Effective Score of 26.71 (R- regime) signals a defensive posture despite a base macro regime of 51.71 (N, neutral). Global liquidity expansion and low volatility (VIX 16) form the tailwind, but acute geopolitical risk (US-Canada tariff escalation, US-Iran tensions), persistent derivative market fragility (crowded futures positioning, $3.8B short liquidations), and custody/protocol incidents (Harmony rollback, hardware wallet bugs, MANTRA exploit) form the headwind. For crypto now, this means institutional spot demand (record $5B+ liquidations, $800M ETF inflows) is being overwhelmed by macro transmission risk and structural leverage vulnerabilities—a classic "risk-on bounce into risk-off shock" setup.

Micro funds · week scan

Fund NAV 7d Sessions Exec Hold
base04 $49.19 +22.9% 5 3 0 Council
base05 $53.43 +14.4% 5 4 0 Council
base06 $28.65 +20.5% 7 4 0 Council
lg-base01 $53.68 +11.9% 9 3 0 Council
lg-base02 $56.31 n/a 5 4 0 Council

base04 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 22 August 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled, trimming crash, toby, and cocoro and adding to taboshi within a ratified posture move that raised cash to about 25.6% and cut high beta to about 37% while holding base steady; realized post-execution weights are not yet available.

Week: 5 sessions · 3 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 30.3% · Base 37.6% · High-beta 32.1%
CASH (USDC) 30.3% BASE (WETH) 37.6% TABOSHI 18.9% DIME 7.4% TOBY 2.1% COCORO 1.9% CRASH 1.9%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 22 August 2026

#1 TABOSHI Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.29, best rank 1, recency score 37.06.
#2 TOBY Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.50, best rank 2, recency score 20.57.
#3 CRASH Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.20, best rank 1, recency score 20.99.

base05 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 22 August 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled, exiting taboshi on coverage-death grounds, adding a new blocktronics position, and increasing UP (The Upsider AI), while the fund posture moved to roughly 28% cash, 39% base, and 33% high beta from about 27/40/33; realized post-execution weights are not yet available.

Week: 5 sessions · 4 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 28.5% · Base 39.2% · High-beta 32.4%
CASH (USDC) 28.5% BASE (WETH) 39.2% UP 15.5% LINKS 6.1% BLOCKTRONICS 4.9% UP 4.5% $PRO 1.4%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 22 August 2026

#1 UP Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.67, best rank 1, recency score 18.01.
#2 UP Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.33, best rank 2, recency score 16.71.
#3 NEMESIS Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.75, best rank 1, recency score 27.01.

base06 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 22 August 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled, mutating the fund's book.

Week: 7 sessions · 4 executed · 0 hold · 1 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 28.5% · Base 38% · High-beta 33.5%
CASH (USDC) 28.5% BASE (WETH) 38.0% VVV 6.0% ZRO 5.6% ETHFI 5.6% LINK 5.5% TIBBIR 5.5% SPX 5.4%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 22 August 2026

#1 TIBBIR Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.14, best rank 1, recency score 37.85.
#2 ETHFI Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.71, best rank 2, recency score 25.22.
#3 LINK Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.57, best rank 3, recency score 22.28.

lg-base01 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 22 August 2026

The council's rebalance executed and reconciled, actually mutating the fund's holdings.

Week: 9 sessions · 3 executed · 0 hold · 2 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 38.9% · Base 32% · High-beta 29.1%
CASH (USDC) 38.9% BASE (WETH) 32.0% NEMESIS 9.4% TOBY 4.8% LINK 4.8% UP 4.2% ETHFI 4.1% ALTT 1.1% TIBBIR 0.7%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 22 August 2026

#1 TIBBIR Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.57, best rank 2, recency score 22.28.
#2 ALTT Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.40, best rank 1, recency score 30.43.
#3 TOBY Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.80, best rank 1, recency score 14.64.

lg-base02 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 22 August 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled, exiting ACU, adding a small NEMESIS position, increasing ALTT, and trimming UP, while the fund's ratified posture moved toward about 39% base, 28% cash, and 33% high beta; realized post-execution weights are not yet confirmed.

Week: 5 sessions · 4 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 28.2% · Base 38.9% · High-beta 32.9%
CASH (USDC) 28.2% BASE (WETH) 38.9% ALTT 8.2% TOBY 5.7% LINK 4.1% NEMESIS 4.0% ETHFI 4.0% CBBTC 3.9% TIBBIR 2.1% UP 1.0% ACU 0.0%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 22 August 2026

#1 TIBBIR Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.71, best rank 2, recency score 21.65.
#2 ALTT Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.60, best rank 1, recency score 29.80.
#3 TOBY Appeared in 5/7 source run(s) with avg rank 4.20, best rank 1, recency score 13.38.

Aggregate signal

✅ Aggregate signal
TIBBIR
Ribbita by Virtuals
Appeared in 7/7 daily runs across base06 and lg-base01 and lg-base02 over the 7-day lookback. Appeared in 7/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.14, best rank 1, recency score 37.85.

What this teaches the future Fund Agent

1
Macro gates exposure. Use the session-frozen regime the council actually saw — not a later live refresh.
2
Daily screen ≠ automatic trade. Aggregate leaders inform the slate; they do not bypass Chair decision or execution gates.
3
Chair decides, system records. Seats analyze and propose; the Chair adjudicates; minutes and execution receipts stay public on each fund’s Council tab.

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