Messy Fund Update

Fund / Signal update · 8 September 2026 · vnext-2026-07-24

Auto-generated at build time from api.messyvirgo.com and authenticated council prep (session-frozen macro/narrative when available).

Weekly workflow proof for Messy-managed micro test funds on Base: Guru Lotus books base04, base05, and base06, plus Lagoon books lg-base01 and lg-base02. Screening prepares evidence; the Chair decides; the system records the resolution; only then can execution mutate the book. Macro and narrative below are the postures those sessions used, not a live market refresh at publish time.

Custody / provider

This week's public micro books use two Base custody adapters. base04, base05, and base06 sit on Guru Lotus vaults. Messy's engine runs research, council decisioning, and trade construction; capital on those books sits in Guru's vault contracts. On the Guru books, the trading key can trade but cannot withdraw, a limit enforced by the vault contracts, not our software. lg-base01 and lg-base02 sit on Lagoon vaults for custody and share accounting. Provider-side contract failure is venue risk on either adapter. Keys live in Turnkey; our backend never holds key material.

For the blast-radius map (engine vs custody vs token), see Custody Broke. The Engine Didn’t..

This week at a glance

  • 15 council sessions across 5 micro funds — 7 executed, 4 blocked.
  • base06 NAV $32.2 (+8.5% 7d, 2 exec / 0 hold).
  • base04 NAV $46.58 (-2.4% 7d, 1 exec / 0 hold).
  • 4 sessions blocked or pending review — see fund Council tabs for gates.
  • LIKE led aggregate screens this week — a candidate signal, not an automatic trade.

What's new in the app

  • The public suite is still five micro books: Guru Lotus base04, base05, and base06, plus Lagoon lg-base01 and lg-base02. Closed verification books base01 and base02 stay off this page. The marketing site now lists only the same current books as app.messyvirgo.com/funds. Screens still stop at ideas: council and execution decide size, venue, and fills.

Market regime — macro economics

42.91
N — Neutral
The Effective Score of 42.91 (on a 0–100 scale) reflects a **Neutral regime with material headwinds**. The base regime scores 58.66, anchored by strong institutional Bitcoin ETF inflows ($4.3B over 60 days), global liquidity expansion (+5.3% YoY), and a normalized yield curve (10Y–2Y spread at 43 bps). However, a qualitative adjustment of –15.75 points reflects custody breaches (Liquid Network $320M, Coldcard $293M), yen strength pressuring risk assets, and near-term CPI volatility that could trigger a 58% probability of a Fed rate hike.

Micro funds · week scan

Fund NAV 7d Sessions Exec Hold
base04 $46.58 -2.4% 4 1 0 Council
base05 $44.48 -1.9% 4 1 0 Council
base06 $32.2 +8.5% 2 2 0 Council
lg-base01 $52.64 -0.3% 2 2 0 Council
lg-base02 $54.12 -1.6% 3 1 0 Council

base04 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 8 September 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled, trimming high beta toward a ratified 67% target and raising cash to 15% while adding a DogeVerse entry funded by reducing Mfer and Roost; realized post-execution weights were not yet available to confirm against that target at session close.

Week: 4 sessions · 1 executed · 0 hold · 2 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 19.6% · Base 21.1% · High-beta 59.4%
CASH (USDC) 19.6% BASE (WETH) 21.1% BALD 12.1% PEEZY 11.7% DOGEVERSE 10.7% TYBG 9.6% ROOST 7.2% DRB 3.9% KEYCAT 2.1% MFER 2.1%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 8 September 2026

#1 BYTE Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.75, best rank 1, recency score 24.71.
#2 NEIRO Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.25, best rank 1, recency score 22.82.
#3 MDOGAI Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.50, best rank 3, recency score 19.73.

base05 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 8 September 2026

The council's rebalance executed and reconciled, exiting chad and beni from the sleeve and trimming four remaining holdings to fund a posture-mandated reduction in high beta from about 68.6% to 67.0%, with cash raised to about 14.8% and base held steady; realized post-execution weights are not yet available to confirm the achieved posture against this ratified target.

Week: 4 sessions · 1 executed · 0 hold · 2 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 31% · Base 18.1% · High-beta 50.9%
CASH (USDC) 31.0% BASE (WETH) 18.1% BOOMER 19.8% ROOST 10.8% RIZ 10.6% UP 9.7%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 8 September 2026

#1 DROPEE Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.75, best rank 1, recency score 19.12.
#2 BOOMER Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.50, best rank 2, recency score 17.42.
#3 SCL Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 2.75, best rank 1, recency score 11.61.

base06 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 8 September 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled this session, raising cash and base while cutting high-beta exposure toward newly ratified targets (cash to about 21.5%, base to about 26.7%, high beta to about 51.9%), though realized post-execution weights are not yet available to confirm the achieved posture.

Week: 2 sessions · 2 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 20.4% · Base 25.2% · High-beta 54.4%
CASH (USDC) 20.4% BASE (WETH) 25.2% VVV 16.4% PENDLE 13.6% NPC 11.4% SPX 11.2% ZEN 1.8%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 8 September 2026

#1 ZEN Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.17, best rank 1, recency score 28.04.
#2 NPC Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.33, best rank 1, recency score 19.90.
#3 PENDLE Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 7.00, best rank 6, recency score 12.92.

lg-base01 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 8 September 2026

The rebalance executed and reconciled on-chain.

Week: 2 sessions · 2 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 28% · Base 27.6% · High-beta 44.4%
CASH (USDC) 28.0% BASE (WETH) 27.6% ZORA 16.0% WOON 12.3% CBBTC 7.7% DRB 4.6% OMI 2.0% PROPS 1.8%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 8 September 2026

#1 LIKE Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 7.00, best rank 4, recency score 14.86.
#2 WOON Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 3.75, best rank 2, recency score 10.15.
#3 HOT Appeared in 3/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.00, best rank 1, recency score 11.47.

lg-base02 — council & book

Closing session · executed reconciled · 8 September 2026

The council's rebalance executed and reconciled, adding Horizen (zen) and Nockchain (nock) while trimming NPC and WOON under a locked posture move that cuts cash toward about 18% and raises high beta toward about 63%, though realized post-execution weights are not yet confirmed against that target.

Week: 3 sessions · 1 executed · 0 hold · 0 blocked

Open Council minutes →

Current book
Cash 17.5% · Base 19% · High-beta 63.5%
CASH (USDC) 17.5% BASE (WETH) 19.0% NPC 8.6% NOCK 8.3% ZEN 7.9% COMP 7.8% LIKE 7.8% CBBTC 7.8% JITOSOL 7.7% WOON 7.5%

Top aggregate candidates — 7-day lookback , as of 8 September 2026

#1 LIKE Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 7.83, best rank 4, recency score 12.40.
#2 DROPEE Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 1.50, best rank 1, recency score 21.22.
#3 WOON Appeared in 4/7 source run(s) with avg rank 5.00, best rank 4, recency score 8.44.

Aggregate signal

✅ Aggregate signal
LIKE
LikeCoin
Appeared in 6/7 daily runs across lg-base01 and lg-base02 over the 7-day lookback. Appeared in 6/7 source run(s) with avg rank 7.00, best rank 4, recency score 14.86.

What this teaches the future Fund Agent

1
Macro gates exposure. Use the session-frozen regime the council actually saw — not a later live refresh.
2
Daily screen ≠ automatic trade. Aggregate leaders inform the slate; they do not bypass Chair decision or execution gates.
3
Chair decides, system records. Seats analyze and propose; the Chair adjudicates; minutes and execution receipts stay public on each fund’s Council tab.

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